Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 275.594664 312.364652 353.584485 403.478644 462.585973 530.805221 616.123713
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 229.944959 279.915938 341.330533 423.474132 532.184528 673.629033 875.848318
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 198.621376 252.658661 323.008831 423.391941 566.502367 768.978155 1088.269589
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 172.628174 226.874891 300.616419 411.196754 578.361123 831.503936 1265.012251
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 153.230148 206.818707 282.307227 400.328181 587.935821 889.523190 1446.094593
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 143.835020 199.309610 280.274732 412.315313 633.381860 1011.905982 1769.769373
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 133.579756 189.187328 272.792072 414.122153 661.617909 1109.777567 2076.445827
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 122.715629 176.935376 260.471435 405.981152 670.692499 1173.784239 2333.222131
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 115.193417 169.043329 254.046745 406.634690 695.208885 1271.892720 2698.126408
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 106.803577 158.994920 243.031030 397.682154 699.828549 1330.054838 2988.024066
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 100.691720 152.079363 236.501756 395.870264 717.909341 1420.636089 3396.921762
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 92.498464 141.107419 222.086818 377.704516 699.755848 1425.652157 3569.624986
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 90.561499 140.583667 225.982605 395.357807 761.208221 1636.066651 4468.750224
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 89.100163 140.752074 231.135290 416.264792 834.294215 1898.672220 5712.120524
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 84.846556 135.695301 226.244362 416.050408 858.714071 2039.616104 6613.083232
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 79.486484 128.290601 216.338845 404.132396 852.970024 2094.138141 7206.434516
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 74.764001 121.720020 207.491791 393.496812 848.723452 2152.668277 7866.032611
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 73.054874 120.500876 208.808305 405.225732 903.820919 2413.016566 9720.679541
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 70.351119 117.250456 205.855575 406.993456 932.993976 2599.778472 11394.920336
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 66.830505 112.246680 199.014558 399.028304 934.060818 2690.504735 12614.309881
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 64.443741 109.241236 195.981538 399.667759 959.744861 2880.545579 14719.055294
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 61.316408 104.634478 189.327784 390.907635 956.533455 2960.618809 16165.262043
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 59.055903 101.578722 185.685084 389.134552 974.172373 3131.581423 18596.300317